Recovering Market Expectations of FOMC Rate Changes with Options on Federal Funds Futures PoorSatisfactoryGoodVery GoodExcellent Be the first. (0 ratings) Log in to rate this article. CFA Digest May 2006 | Vol. 36 | No. 2 | 2 pages Source: CFA InstituteJohn B. Carlson Ben R. Craig William R. MelickFrank T. Magiera, CFA (Reviewer) Read Abstract U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings command a great deal of attention because at these meetings changes occur in the federal funds rate. Analysts have used a variety of means to estimate the probability and amount of any potential rate change, such as extracting estimates from the prices of federal funds futures contracts. The authors describe a technique that uses prices of traded options on federal funds futures contracts to recover the implied probability density function (PDF) for future FOMC interest rate decisions. This relatively simple method provides PDFs for individual and multiple FOMC meetings. The techniques should help market analysts determine the market consensus view of the future stance of monetary policy. View more information Topics Derivatives | Fixed Income Credits · About the CE Program 0 CE (including 0 SER) Record credits Credits recorded Members, log in to record your credits. Manage CE Credits People who viewed this page also viewed: Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report The "Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report" is a comprehensive study of world wealth that analyzes the world’s entire 200 trillion ... More Credit Suisse Global Wealth Databook This Databook displays the detailed dataset backing the "Credit Suisse Global Wealth Report," the comprehensive study of world ... More Top Hedge Fund Investors: Stories, Strategies, and Advice This book chronicles top hedge fund investors that played key roles in the industry, including substantial information on manager sourcing, ... More Loading ...